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Last 50 Postings | Last 100 Postings


05-15-26  panasonic

Any explanation why gold & dollar are falling at the same time?

05-15-26  savo

much less than what the diabolic banks have been saying for years to keep bond prices suppressed

05-15-26  carib

https://bitacoraeconomica.com/calixto-ortega-sanchez-anuncia-auditoria-de-acreencias-para-determinar-monto-real-de-la-deuda-a-renegociar/

05-15-26  leopardo

Anyway, the bondholders will try to maximize the recovery, and in my opinion, given a counterparty like Venezuela, they will succeed even with
a significant debt haircut.

05-15-26  carib

The entire cuban regime can claim political dementia, actually..

:-)

05-15-26  panasonic

Carib, exactly he only needs to claim dementia and case closed.

05-15-26  carib

Raul is 94

05-15-26  panasonic

Raul will defend himself, doesn't need to spend in lawyers :-))

05-15-26  Merlino

The United States is moving to indict former Cuban leader Raúl Castro on potential charges in a 30-year-old case involving the downing of two humanitarian planes.
.................
Good

05-15-26  carib

The United States is moving to indict former Cuban leader Raúl Castro on potential charges in a 30-year-old case involving the downing of two humanitarian planes.

05-15-26  carib

CIA Director John Ratcliffe led a US delegation to Havana to meet with Cuban government officials on Thursday as the island grapples with a collapse of its energy sector amid spiraling relations with the US, according to the Cuban government.

05-15-26  leopardo

I had a too big position to increase it. Just made a few swaps vnz to pdvsa.
Anyway happy with today's prices and hoping for the best in the restructuring.

05-15-26  carib

Merlino: same here.. lacked the courage to increase significantly risky section..

05-15-26  victor

CBS News Exclusive: The U.S. is taking steps to indict Raúl Castro, the 94-year-old former president of Cuba and brother of Fidel, in connection with the downing of planes 30 years ago, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

05-14-26  Merlino

but lacked the courage.
.....................
Me lacked enough funds in the risky compartment

What about big shot Dany? Holding or sold out?

And what about TH5000? Somebody posted he was driving an Uber by suggestion of Alex...if I remember well and if it was not a joke

Until now it was better to hold and not to liquidate...my perception is it may be convenient to ride out fluctuations and wait for the restructuring outcome, as we have bought at low prices and accrued continues at a very good pace, even considering a haircut

05-14-26  carib

the issue is daily volumes.
If the total daily volume (VEN+PDVsa) is for example 20MM..
obviously a 50MM order moves the price big way.
But if total volume is 30MM, and one buys over 10 days, I guess prices will just be moved by news.

Actually, I really considered trying to buy 50MM nominal during sanctions, with prices in single digits, but lacked the courage.

05-14-26  carib

Savo: I think 1MM currently on Finra means the old 1MM+

05-14-26  savo

have you ever seen in finra a trade for more than 1MM?

05-14-26  panasonic

Carib, Manya needs to ask price live in such cases, so unless it is a real buyer we wouldn't know.

05-14-26  carib

Panas: ask Manya..

05-14-26  panasonic

Carib, me very small cookie, dont trade in Billions :-)))

But say buyer of 50MM face, can he find paper without bidding up?

05-14-26  carib

Panas: Obviously, if you bid for a billion now, you move the price.
Pity we did not buy a billion when it was trading at 2 cents..

05-14-26  panasonic

Carib, probably seller in size is someone that accumulated in smaller lots after Maduro got extracted.

I find hard to imagine big holders willing to get out right now.

I could trim a small lot just to keep my investment at a size that does not exceed X% of my assets just for discipline, but how many bonds can a real buyer find without bidding up more aggressively.

05-14-26  carib

example from today's trading..

https://www.finra.org/finra-data/fixed-income/trade-history?cusip=P7807HAT2&bondType=CA

05-14-26  carib

Panas: on the Finra site most recorded trades are 1MM+.. but we do not know how much +...

05-14-26  panasonic

Sooo who calls the shots in Iran?? and remember, you read it here months in advance.

05-14-26  panasonic

Carib, there is no buyer in size? conundrum.

05-14-26  carib

PDVsa 21 @48

05-14-26  panasonic

Savo, absolutely! the only thing that matters in Vzla is Pdvsa, to me republic ranks below.

05-14-26  savo

in any case the gap pdv-rep is difficult to understand these days.


too large and in the wrong direction

05-14-26  savo

but some kind of oil price/production warrant may be part of the offer

05-14-26  savo

i do not think they will offer equity to bondholders.. pdvsa is a public company 100% and will remain so.. unless the evil psycho comes in and sells it to the masons.

05-14-26  savo

pana.. veni would be delighted to replenish them to the full

05-14-26  panasonic

Yep, USA re-building strategic reserves.

05-14-26  carib

Leo: debt for equity would be a good path, if in good faith..

05-14-26  savo

Las exportaciones venezolanas de petróleo a Estados Unidos fueron de 588.000 barriles diarios (bpd) en la primera semana de mayo, la cifra más alta desde antes de que se impusieran las sanciones en 2019, de acuerdo con los datos preliminares de la Agencia de Información Energética (EIA, por sus siglas en inglés).

05-14-26  leopardo

It depends on what they give us in exchange Carib….
Pdvsa Stocks listed in NY? Fine with me…

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