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12-02-25 savo
| carib.. do you have real prices? I haven't seen a full run in over a week. |
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12-02-25 carib
| But PDVsa bonds trading up.. |
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12-02-25 carib
| Sounds like we are not any wiser, re veny saga.. |
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12-02-25 victor
Putin: «Si Europa quiere la guerra con Rusia, estamos preparados»
El presidente ruso ha acusado a los europeos de no tener «una agenda de paz» y estar «del lado de la guerra» justo antes de reunirse con Steve Witkoff y Jared Kushner para hablar del plan de paz con Ucrania
Justo antes de recibir al enviado especial de Trump Steve Witkoff para tratar el plan de paz para Ucrania, Vladímir Putin compareció este martes en el foro económico del banco VTB 'Rusia llama'. Desde el atril de este evento, el mandatario tocó muchos temas de actualidad y diferentes mensajes dirigidos a sus vecinos del continente. Advirtió a los líderes europeos de que Rusia no tiene planes de entrar en guerra con la UE pero “si Europa de repente quiere luchar contra nosotros y empieza, (Rusia) está lista ahora mismo”.
También criticó las iniciativas europeas, de las que dijo que bloquean las negociaciones. “Ellos no tienen una agenda de paz, están del lado de la guerra” criticó. Opinó que desde el Kremlin ven “claramente que estos cambios tienen un solo objetivo: bloquear todo el proceso de paz”.
Putin señaló que de las negociaciones, según él, nadie expulsó a Bruselas. “Ellos (los países de Europa) están ofendidos por haber sido excluidos de las negociaciones (sobre Ucrania). Pero quiero señalar que nadie los suspendió, ellos mismos se retiraron”, aseguró. La política de la UE respecto al conflicto ha buscado responder a Rusia y sancionarla, además de apoyar económicamente y militarmente a Ucrania, algo que ha molestado a Moscú. Reiteró que las “propuestas presentadas por Europa como parte del plan de paz sobre Ucrania son inaceptables para Rusia”.
Argumentó que, desde su punto de vista, los países occidentales “quieren eliminar a los competidores, mantener sus antiguos privilegios en un mundo en rápido cambio, ese monopolio que se les escapa”. A pesar de sus palabras, el país euroasiático se ha visto debilitado tras casi cuatro años de guerra, ha perdido influencia en Oriente Próximo, el Cáucaso y Asia Central. Además, podría perder pronto la Venezuela de Nicolás Maduro.
Desde la capital rusa, Putin también mencionó que su país siente “presión externa (...)”. “Sin embargo, (...) la economía está haciendo frente con éxito a estos desafíos”, matizó. Además señaló que su deuda pública es de las más bajas del mundo, inferior al 20% del PIB. A pesar de estas palabras la economía rusa ha sufrido vaivenes y las autoridades se han visto obligadas recientemente a subir impuestos tanto a la renta como por el valor añadido.
Otro de los temas principales de su discurso fue Ucrania. El jefe del Kremlin criticó los ataques de Kiev contra petroleros rusos en el mar Negro e incluso los tildó de “piratería”. Añadió que Rusia considerará “medidas de respuesta contra los buques de países que asisten a Kiev en estas operaciones de piratería”. Putin eñaló que la forma más radical de combatirlo sería “aislar a Ucrania del mar”.
Otra respuesta rusa más viable, según Putin, sería que Moscú “ampliara el alcance de nuestros ataques contra las instalaciones portuarias y los buques que hacen escala en puertos ucranianos”. La ciudad portuaria de Odesa, el nodo más importante ucraniano en el Mar Negro, es una de las ciudades que ha sido atacada en algunas ocasioens por las tropas rusas.
Estas declaraciones, realizadas justo antes de la reunión con los estadounidenses, llegan horas después de que Volodímir Zelenski diese su beneplácito a la propuesta —revisada— de paz que ha puesto sobre la mesa Estados Unidos para acabar con la guerra en Ucrania.
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12-02-25 savo
edvi.. that is my default scenario... but one can never rule out usual american madness.
Maduro has nowhere to go. He is valuable to some people as long as he is in Miraflores.
The moment he boards a plane.. he is nobody and nobody will want to have him and risk upsetting the US.
Why will Cuba, Turkey or Russia want to receive Maduro? They have more important businesses to discuss with the US than with an overthrown dictator.
Cuba smiles to Maduro because he sends Cuba free oil. The moment Maduro is out and oil stops arriving, he will be politely invited to join Chavez in his Cuban basement. |
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12-02-25 Edvi
Savo,
Probably nothing is going to happen, Maduro authorized hours ago the repatriation flights:
"El INAC comunica que EE.UU. solicitó autorización de vuelo de Easter Airlines para vuelos de repatriation de migrantes venezolanos deportados por el gobierno de EE.UU.
La autorización fue otorgada para la ruta Phoenix - Maiquetía."
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12-02-25 savo
La reunión ha tenido lugar 24 horas después de que Trump confirmara haber mantenido una conversación telefónica con Maduro. En esa llamada del 21 de noviembre, según una exclusiva de la agencia Reuters, el presidente estadounidense exigió al líder chavista que dejara el poder antes del pasado viernes, 28 de noviembre, a cambio de garantizarle su seguridad durante su traslado a un tercer país. Según apuntan las fuentes citadas por Reuters, esa oferta ya no se encuentra en pie.
La expiración del plazo sin que Maduro hubiera dejado el poder precipitó la declaración de Trump en la que anunció el sábado el cierre del espacio aéreo venezolano, según la agencia.
Maduro pidió entre sus condiciones amnistía para él y para su familia, el fin de las sanciones internacionales que le castigan a él y a un centenar de altos cargos venezolanos, y la retirada de los cargos que encara ante el Tribunal Penal Internacional. También proponía la formación de un gobierno interino encabezado por la vicepresidenta Delcy Rodríguez hasta la celebración de elecciones.
De confirmarse las informaciones de la agencia, las opciones para Maduro se complican considerablemente. El gobierno chavista busca una segunda conversación telefónica, según Reuters.
https://elpais.com/internacional/2025-12-01/trump-valorara-los-proximos-pasos-en-venezuela-en-una-reunion-con-su-equipo-este-lunes.html
I do not trust El Pais... but who knows?.. may be this time they are telling the truth. |
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12-02-25 savo
Crypto’s Retail Traders Hit Hard as Strategy ETFs Plunge 80%
Retail investors who piled into Michael Saylor’s grand Bitcoin experiment are paying a heavy price
a good day for humanity! |
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12-02-25 victor
Maduro jura «lealtad absoluta» al pueblo venezolano y asegura que el poder del país se sustenta en sus fusiles
El mandatario ha encabezado una marcha para tomar juramento a los nuevos líderes locales
El presidente de Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, ha jurado este lunes «lealtad absoluta» al pueblo venezolano, en medio de las crecientes tensiones con la Administración del presidente de EE.UU., Donald Trump.
Maduro, rodeado por otros altos funcionarios, se ha dirigido a una multitud frente al palacio presidencial, después de que el Gobierno convocara una marcha para tomar juramento a los nuevos líderes locales del partido socialista PSUV, actualmente en el poder.
«Tengan la seguridad de que, al igual que juré ante el cuerpo de nuestro comandante Chávez antes de despedirme de él, (...) les juro lealtad absoluta hasta más allá de cuando podamos vivir esta hermosa y heroica historia», dijo Maduro, refiriéndose a su predecesor Hugo Chávez.
Maduro estuvo acompañado por su esposa, Cilia Flores, y el ministro del Interior, Diosdado Cabello, quien llevaba una gorra de béisbol roja con el lema «la duda es traición» bordado, así como por otros altos funcionarios.
El mandatario venezolano ha remarcado que «el poder nacional» de la Venezuela del siglo XXI se sustenta en «su pueblo, su conciencia, sus instituciones, sus fusiles y su decisión de construir esta patria por encima de cualquier dificultad», ha remarcado el mandatario.
La Asamblea Nacional de Venezuela ha suspendido este lunes una sesión extraordinaria para debatir la creación de una comisión encargada de investigar los ataques a embarcaciones. La oficina de prensa de la Asamblea informó que la sesión se reprogramó para el martes, su día habitual de debate.
Las tropas estadounidenses han llevado a cabo al menos 21 ataques contra presuntas embarcaciones de narcotraficantes en el Caribe y el Pacífico desde septiembre, en los que han muerto al menos 83 personas.
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12-01-25 savo
no clue carib... too many meetings.. something seems imminent
my point was that US principles seem to be very malleable...
one day they are bombing Syria... the following day they receive with honors at the White House the guy they were bombing the day before....
one day they jail for 45 years the guy who entered tons of drugs into the US.. the following day they pardon him...
tomorrow they may bomb Maduro... sometime in the future they might be best friends...
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12-01-25 victor
Trump hará una reunión sobre Venezuela en la Oficina Oval, según fuentes
CNN —
El presidente Donald Trump tendrá una reunión en la Casa Blanca el lunes por la noche para hablar sobre los próximos pasos hacia Venezuela, según informaron a CNN fuentes familiarizadas con el asunto, mientras el Gobierno intensifica su campaña de presión sobre el país.
Se espera la asistencia de miembros clave del gabinete y del equipo de seguridad nacional de Trump, incluyendo al secretario de Defensa, Pete Hegseth; el jefe del Estado Mayor Conjunto, general Dan Caine; y el secretario de Estado, Marco Rubio; así como la secretaria general de la Casa Blanca, Susie Wiles; y el subsecretario Stephen Miller.
La reunión, que se espera tenga lugar a las 5 p. m. ET en la Oficina Oval, se produce en un momento en que Estados Unidos ha aumentado la presión sobre Venezuela con ataques a buques cargados de drogas y la acumulación de activos militares en el Caribe.
Durante el fin de semana, Trump también emitió una amplia directiva sobre redes sociales, advirtiendo a aerolíneas, pilotos y redes criminales que eviten el espacio aéreo venezolano.
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12-01-25 leopardo
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12-01-25 carib
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12-01-25 carib
Trump pardoned the former honduran president.. to help the conservatives to win the elections held on sunday..
If taking out OFAC sanctions allowed the Veny conservatives to win an election held immediately, that would certainly be OK..
but would not solve Maduro's problem. |
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12-01-25 savo
march silver 1 dollar shy of 60...
Saylor should have bought Silver this year... he would be 100% up.. and not being the buyer of last resort... he would be able to sell and take profit.
Instead ..he mounted a complex financial engineering which has him with an average price of 75K... with btc at 85.... ie. for a mere 15% profit...and worse of all.. he can not even sell to take that profit...!!! |
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12-01-25 savo
Saylor trying to fool the market... the end of Strategy is near... in essence... the ponzi works as long as Saylor can sell stock at a premium to fools that prefer to buy BTC through him and pay more instead of buying directly and pay market price...
Recent sells at a premium allowed him to build a reserve... but that reserve was supposed to buy more BTCs.. instead he is going to use it to pay dividends on the prefs he issued... he intends to buy time... if he does not manage to sell stock in the future at a premium... that reserve will run out and he will have no cash to pay dividends on the prefs except selling BTCs...
Given that he is the buyer of last resort... the whole fraud has the "days numbered"
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/business/strategy-mstr-creates-cash-reserve
Strategy ($MSTR) announced Monday that it has created a $1.44 billion U.S. dollar reserve to safeguard future dividend and interest payments, a move aimed at calming investor concerns that the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder might eventually need to sell a portion of its roughly $56 billion BTC stack if market weakness persists.
The Tysons Corner, Virginia-based firm said the reserve, funded by recent Class A common stock sales, will initially cover at least 21 months of dividend obligations.
Over time, Strategy intends to expand the buffer to cover as much as 24 months of payments, strengthening its liquidity position as Bitcoin endures its steepest monthly decline since mid-2021.
Founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said the cash reserve represents the next phase of the company’s evolution, complementing its Bitcoin holdings and reinforcing its strategy of becoming the world’s leading issuer of “Digital Credit.”
CEO Phong Le, whose comments last week sparked fears of a potential BTC sale, said the newly formed reserve sharply reduces the likelihood the company would need to liquidate any of its 650,000 BTC holdings.
Strategy’s market value to Bitcoin (mNAV) ratio — a key metric comparing enterprise value to Bitcoin holdings — had slipped to roughly 1.2 on Monday, inching closer to a level that historically raises concern among investors.
On Friday, Le told a podcast audience that Strategy could sell Bitcoin only if mNAV dropped below 1.0, and only as a last resort.
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Investors reacted sharply early Monday to a bitcoin price sell-off, sending Strategy shares down more than 6% pre-market while Bitcoin fell roughly 6%. The stock pared losses after the reserve announcement.
At the time of writing, shares of MSTR are trading at 165.84, down 6.40%.
Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation
Formerly known as MicroStrategy, the company has evolved from a business-intelligence software firm into a full-scale digital-asset-treasury vehicle, financing its Bitcoin accumulation through repeated equity raises and low-cost perpetual preferred offerings.
Its software division does not generate sufficient free cash flow to cover dividend or interest payments, while Bitcoin itself yields no income.
After a pause in purchases, Strategy added 130 BTC for $11.7 million last week, funded through new common share issuance.
Strategy’s updated forecast
Alongside the reserve announcement, Strategy updated its 2025 guidance, acknowledging that its October forecast — based on a $150,000 year-end Bitcoin price — is no longer realistic.
With Bitcoin recently trading between $80,660 and $111,612, Strategy now assumes a year-end price range of $85,000 to $110,000.
Under that scenario, the company expects operating income ranging from a $7 billion loss to a $9.5 billion profit—a wide spread driven by new accounting standards requiring fair-value BTC mark-to-market treatment each quarter.
Net income is projected between a $5.5 billion loss and a $6.3 billion profit, while diluted EPS could fall anywhere from –$17 to +$19 per share.
Despite market turbulence, Wall Street brokers such as Benchmark say the firm remains structurally sound, with Bitcoin unlikely to fall anywhere near the roughly $12,700 distress threshold analysts estimate would pose genuine solvency risk.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price fell sharply to the mid-$84,000s early Monday, sliding 8% over the past 24 hours as a wave of macro anxiety, thin liquidity and fresh crypto-native stress hit markets simultaneously.
The world’s largest digital asset traded between a 24-hour high of $91,866 and a low of $84,722, extending a two-month drawdown that has now erased more than 30% from October’s record highs, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data. |
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12-01-25 savo
i think the easiest solution is to open veni's page at ofac... and blank it.
That would kill all birds with one shot.
Once that is done..the US can pragmatically re-engage with veni.. and diplomatically obtain over time.. at no cost in money or human lives.. all that is being unable to obtain over the last 10 years with sanctions and threats.
Trump is pardoning former president of Honduras, Juan Orlando Hernández, who was convicted of drug trafficking charges in a US court last year.
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12-01-25 carib
| Savo: true, but the easy solution is to take him out. |
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12-01-25 spal
the fact is that the US is running out of options... all they are being left with is bombing Venezuela... or Marines in Caracas...
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I think "they" are likely to run limited land based incursions on the pretext of "drug interdictions". Targeting "labs" - supply "depots" etc. To keep the pressure on ... this of course also opens up options of "fortuitous accidents". |
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12-01-25 savo
TACO... and on how to throw Hegseth under a bus
(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump said Sunday that people shouldn’t read much into a social media post where he said Venezuelan airspace should be considered closed.
His post from Saturday morning, addressed to airlines and “Drug Dealers,” added to jitters in the region about possible US strikes on Venezuelan territory.
“Don’t read anything into it,” he told reporters Sunday aboard Air Force One. He added, “We consider Venezuela to be not a very friendly country.”
Related video: Trump says ‘don’t read anything into it’ when pressed on Venezuela airspace warning (FOX News)
Your warning mean that an air strike is eminent.
Current Time 0:29
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Duration 0:51
FOX News
Trump says ‘don’t read anything into it’ when pressed on Venezuela airspace warning
View on Watch
The US is enacting a widening campaign in the Caribbean, one that began with fatal strikes on boats in international waters and continued when the US deployed additional Navy ships, including an aircraft carrier, to the region, adding to speculation it may be about to strike Venezuela.
Trump confirmed he held a phone call recently with President Nicolas Maduro but declined to describe how it went. “I wouldn’t say it went well or badly,” he said.
He also downplayed concerns from Republican lawmakers about a potentially illegal fatal strike on a damaged boat in the Caribbean.
The Defense Department is facing mounting questions after a Washington Post report that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered a fatal strike on boats and demanded specifically that those strikes kill everyone on board. That led to a second strike on the damaged hull of a boat on Sept. 2 to kill two people wounded in the first strike, the Post reported.
“I’m going to find out about it, but Pete said he did not order the death of those two men,” Trump said. Asked whether a second strike would be legal, he replied, “No, I wouldn’t have wanted that, not a second strike. The first strike was very lethal.”
Analysts say the naval strikes were already being carried out under dubious or shaky legal authority, and the strikes have been raising concerns among US allies. The administration argues the boats are legitimate targets because they are allegedly ferrying drugs.
Trump said he wasn’t concerned about legal challenges “because you can see the boats. You can see the drugs in the boats, and each boat is responsible for killing 25,000 Americans. So I think they do an amazing job.”
The report of a follow-up strike to kill wounded people drew rare pushback from Republican lawmakers. Ohio Representative Mike Turner told CBS on Sunday that such a strike would, if confirmed, amount to an “illegal act” while Nebraska’s Don Bacon told ABC it would be a “clear violation of the law of war.”
Senator Roger Wicker, who serves as chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, has said the panel will investigate the strikes in the aftermath of the report. |
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12-01-25 savo
a more realistic article..
https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2025/11/30/the-venezuelan-standoff/
All kinds of theories on negotiations have been sprouting everywhere. And of course they have—it’s clear that there’s now a very direct channel of communication between DC and Caracas. Trump himself just confirmed that he talked to Maduro, and he also commented on his Truth post about the closure of Venezuelan airspace, saying it had no connection to imminent airstrikes.
What we’re seeing is that whatever form these negotiations take (if any at all), they seem grounded in two premises:
Maduro is using them to buy time, hoping to avoid or wear out Trump’s intention to attack.
Trump is using them to drag time to avoid an attack hoping that the pressure will wear out Maduro and the people around him.
Donald Trump will find a worthy opponent in Nicolás Maduro when it comes to making deadly things boring.
The truth is that neither of them has many options. We’ve said before in our Political Risk Report that there is no deal Trump can offer right now that would make Maduro leave. There’s no off-ramp that guarantees he’ll remain safe and out of jail—not abroad, and not inside Venezuela even if he were to hand power to one of his own. So Maduro is cornered into braving the storm and hoping for the best. As we’ve said before, his strategy is to hunker down and call Trump’s bluff.
This leaves Trump with little options too. He will likely be forced to move on to land strikes to see if they change the game: to see if Maduro’s priorities are altered, and if the possibility of him taking a deal with no guarantees appears, because, for instance, he’s now fearing for his life. Our bet, however, is that simply taking out an empanada stand in Güiria won’t do the trick.
It’s likely that this situation will drag on for a while. The Venezuelan standoff is a game in which each side tries to annoy or bore the hell out of the other until someone caves. It’s a game at which Maduro excels—and the only way to win against him is not to play. |
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12-01-25 savo
maimi herald..
too detailed... not credible... part of a script.. intended to turn the military against maduro...
the fact is that the US is running out of options... all they are being left with is bombing Venezuela... or Marines in Caracas...
old style diplomacy would work better than the G Ford on Maduro's bathroom.
Incidentally... Hegseth days out of prison seem to be numbered.
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12-01-25 victor
CNN —
Venezuela acusó a EE.UU. de “homicidio”, después de reconocer públicamente por primera vez que algunos de sus ciudadanos se encontraban entre los muertos por ataques estadounidenses contra supuestas embarcaciones de drogas en el Caribe.
“No hay una guerra declarada [entre EE.UU. y Venezuela], por lo tanto, esto no puede clasificarse como otra cosa que homicidio”, dijo el presidente de la Asamblea Nacional de Venezuela, Jorge Rodríguez, en una conferencia de prensa el domingo.
“Todo ser humano tiene derecho al debido proceso; ningún ser humano puede ser asesinado de manera brutal”, afirmó.
CNN ha contactado al Departamento de Estado de EE.UU. para obtener comentarios.
Las declaraciones de Rodríguez son la primera vez que Caracas admite abiertamente que algunos de sus ciudadanos han muerto en los ataques estadounidenses, que se han ejecutado desde septiembre y han dejado más de 80 muertos. EE.UU. sostiene que los ataques tienen como objetivo interrumpir los flujos ilegales de drogas, aunque Caracas considera que el verdadero objetivo de Washington es sacar a Maduro del poder. |
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