11-16-25 spal
Assessed potential for hybrid ops:
SOF Raids for Regime Decapitation (40-50% Confidence): Delta Force/SEAL heliborne insertions to capture Maduro or inner circle (e.g., Diosdado Cabello). Speculated via RQ-170 drones for targeting; echoes 2019 Goudreau plot.
SIGINT/Infiltration via Border Proxies (35-45% Confidence): CIA/SOCOM ops with Colombian ex-FARC dissidents or Venezuelan exiles for intel on C2 nodes/drug labs. Involves anomalous air patterns (P-8A/MQ-9) for real-time targeting. Historical: 2025 pilot flips for intel
False-Flag Infrastructure Sabotage (30-40% Confidence): Maduro self-sabotage (e.g., refineries/bridges) to blame U.S., or U.S.-backed opposition hits for pretext. Gimenez recircs warnings; aligns with Venezuelan "asymmetric chaos" vows.
Narco-Network Disruptions (35% Confidence): Covert strikes on Cartel de los Soles labs/ports via proxies (e.g., DEA-embedded locals). Framed as "Southern Spear" anti-drug, but masks regime pressure.
Overall: Chatter up 25% post-towers, but evidence thin (contextual leaks > forensics). Moderate confidence stems from EO history; full ops unlikely without Nov 18 Trump pivot.
Watch: ADS-B for stealth drone spikes.
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11-16-25 spal
| I don't think he is heading to Madison Square Gardens in any event. |
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11-16-25 savo
does this guy look like being on his way to Guantanamo?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2C-ZvH2mqA
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11-16-25 victor
Reported to have had a little spirit bird he calls "pinky" on his shoulder at the time of this performance.
:-))
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11-16-25 panasonic
| Spal, bus driver unable to strike a deal, stupidest billionaire I've seen. |
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11-16-25 spal
3 transmission towers down (~2 AM CST); CIA alterations alleged.
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11-16-25 spal
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11-16-25 spal
Change:
Shift from ambiguous "loitering" to confirmed CSG transit—Ford now ~150nm off Aruba/Curaçao, enabling 2h strike windows vs. prior 4-6h.
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11-16-25 spal
Nicolás Maduro's November 15, 2025, rendition of John Lennon's "Imagine" at a Caracas rally—crooning anti-war lyrics like "living life in peace" amid U.S. carrier deployments—mirrors Saddam Hussein's pre-invasion psychological operations (psyops) in tone and intent: desperate, media-amplified pleas for de-escalation to humanize the leader, rally domestic support, and erode international will for conflict. Both occurred against U.S.-led buildups (Gulf Wars 1991 and 2003), using broadcasts to frame the regime as a peace-seeking victim. However, Saddam's efforts blended soft appeals with militaristic bravado, reflecting his Ba'athist propaganda machine, while Maduro's is a singular, folksy stunt in a crumbling socialist echo chamber.
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11-16-25 spal
| https://www.the-sun.com/news/15499169/venezuelan-tyrant-sings-john-lennon-imagine-to-trump/ |
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11-16-25 spal
USS Gerald R. Ford CSG officially enters Caribbean via Anegada Passage (dawn Nov 16, ~150nm off Aruba); joins Iwo Jima ARG (10k+ Marines). SOUTHCOM: "Critical step" vs. narcoterrorism, but maps target Venezuelan ports/airfields.
No vector shifts per MarineTraffic.
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11-16-25 spal
Maduro sings John Lennon's "Imagine" (video circ. 10:30 PM CST Nov 15, 100K+ views by 9 AM Nov 16), pleading "peace, no war" in English amid U.S. buildup; framed as soft power vs. invasion fears. X decodes as "surrender tease" or domestic calm-down.
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Reported to have had a little spirit bird he calls "pinky" on his shoulder at the time of this performance. |
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11-16-25 savo
who knows what is in the minds of all these crazi people ...but does Maduro and also his entourage look as people on the verge of being invaded, arrested and deported to the US?
I open the veni press and they all seem to be in perpetual celebration of I do not know what.
Do they know something that we do not? |
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11-16-25 spal
Recent OSINT (last 6h) clusters around psychological escalation (8.5/10 imminence): Opposition leader María Corina Machado's video urges military defections ("decisive hour imminent"), amplified on X with 200+ reposts; Rep. Gimenez signals "freedom reunions." Maduro counters with "peace" pleas, but rumors of his flight swirl.
Tangible off-ramp: Rejected oil deal (300B barrels access for sanctions relief) lingers as leverage—Trump's "stick" (Tomahawk-ready assets 150nm offshore) pushes better terms, per NYT leaks. Polymarket odds: 25% strikes by Nov 20, 42% deal by Dec 31. No kinetics yet; P-8A surveillance holds. Watch Nov 18 Trump address for pivot—coercion likely over invasion.
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11-16-25 spal
Rep. Gimenez (R-FL, Homeland Security) posted poetic Spanish verse at 7:49 PM CST: "pronto nos reencontraremos... en libertad" (soon we'll reunite... in freedom), tagging Machado/Bolívar icons—interpreted as regime-change nod amid his prior false-flag warnings.
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11-16-25 spal
"Lower your weapons, do not attack the people, make the decision today to stand with Venezuela’s freedom when the precise hour arrives. The worst hostages are those who are forced to carry out this barbarity... The position each one of you takes will mark your life forever. History, the law, and the Venezuelan people will be your judges!"
This has been interpreted by OSINT observers as a coded signal of coordinated opposition action, potentially synced with U.S. pressure, evoking pre-invasion rhetoric from past regime changes (e.g., Iraq 2003).
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11-16-25 spal
| María Corina Machado has left Venezuela |
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11-16-25 spal
| decisive hour is imminent. |
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11-16-25 spal
Viva Venezuela!
A more than three-minute-long message published earlier today by Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, calling for supporters of President Nicolás Maduro to lay down their arms and join the fight for a free Venezuela.
“Make today the decision to accompany the freedom of Venezuela when the time comes. What is going to happen is already happening. That decisive hour is imminent.”
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1989870906550993164?s=20 |
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11-16-25 spal
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11-16-25 savo
30% YTD drop to $200-270
i think looking this on a YTD basis understates the gravity of the problem. MSTR touched 434 on July 11 this year...and is now at 200.
that is a 54% drop.
YTD has no relevance in my opinion because early Trump's presidency there was a crypto hype following the new legislation passed... the ETFs... US Crypto capital of the world.. various Trump family members Crypto ventures... JD Vance Bitcoin strategic reserve.. etc...
But passed the hype the king is naked and things are going again in the direction they were already going before Trump. |
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11-15-25 spal
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin-centric strategy—amassing 641,000 BTC at an average cost of ~$74,000—positions it as a high-beta proxy for crypto volatility, not a market "cornerer." With holdings valued at ~$61 billion (November 15, 2025), unrealized gains ($21 billion) bolster Q3 2025 profits ($2.8 billion), but leverage (~$8-10 billion debt) amplifies downside risks. The thesis of imminent failure is overstated: No margin calls loom (debt isn't BTC-collateralized), and Saylor's HODL ethos drives ongoing buys amid dips, with mNAV rebounding to ~1.23.
However, sustained BTC declines below $74,000 could trigger impairments, eroding equity and forcing selective sales in a "death spiral." Debt maturities (averaging 4.4 years, rising to $13-19 billion by year-end) strain cash flows if refinancing falters amid recessionary GDP (1.5-2% in 2026). Sentiment shifts—fueled by dilution from equity raises or regulatory scrutiny—could collapse the stock (30% YTD drop to $200-270), halting capital access.
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11-15-25 victor
carib, what is your opinion on this topic?
should Z be replaced? have elections and elect somebody else?
should the EU and US continue supporting Z?
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Trump administration stays silent as massive Ukraine corruption scandal rocks Zelenskyy's inner circle
White House declines comment on $100M probe that prompted senior Ukrainian official resignations
The Trump administration has so far remained silent on a widening corruption scandal inside Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s government and inner circle.
The White House did not respond to a request for comment on a $100 million corruption probe announced this week that has already prompted the resignations of senior Ukrainian officials.
Corruption has long been a friction point in U.S.–Ukraine relations. In 2019, the Trump administration paused roughly $400 million in military aid to Ukraine, citing concerns about government corruption. At the same time, Trump’s associates sought information on then–Democratic rival Joe Biden, who served as vice president under Barack Obama.
Meanwhile, Biden’s son Hunter held a $50,000-per-month board seat at the Ukrainian energy firm Burisma. As vice president, Joe Biden had threatened to withhold $1 billion in U.S. loan guarantees unless Ukraine dismissed prosecutor Viktor Shokin, whom Western governments accused of failing to pursue corruption cases. Shokin later claimed he was fired because he was investigating Burisma — a claim U.S. and European officials dispute.
President Donald Trump for months has been working to secure a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, which the U.S. has provided with around $175 billion in aid since the start of the war in 2022.
Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies — the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) and the Special Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAP) — said they spent 15 months on "Operation Midas," a probe that included roughly 1,000 hours of wiretaps. Investigators say the inquiry uncovered a kickback scheme in which contractors for the state-owned nuclear company Energoatom paid 10 to 15 percent bribes, totaling about $100 million, to keep government contracts.
According to prosecutors, the alleged ringleader was Timur Mindich, a longtime associate of Zelenskyy and co-owner of his former production studio, as well as an advisor to Justice Minister German Galushchenko. Authorities say Galushchenko, who served as energy minister until July, helped facilitate the money laundering operation and acted under Mindich’s influence.
Mindich fled Ukraine early Monday, hours before investigators raided his home. Both Galushchenko and his successor, Energy Minister Svitlana Grynchuk, said they would resign at Zelenskyy’s request. Five suspects have been arrested, and seven others placed under official suspicion, prosecutors said.
In a statement, NABU alleged that the criminal network transferred funds to "an unnamed former deputy prime minister of Ukraine," identified internally by the codename Che Guevara. Investigators said about $1.2 million was traced to that individual.
"Using their official connections in the ministry and the state-owned company," the suspects "ensured control over personnel decisions, procurement processes, and financial flows," Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies said.
Zelenskyy has not been directly implicated, but the revelations cast a shadow over a president who built his career on promises to root out graft. He publicly backed the investigation, saying Monday night that "any effective action against corruption is very necessary" and that "the inevitability of punishment is necessary."
Earlier this year, Zelenskyy faced backlash after proposing tighter presidential oversight of Ukraine’s independent anti-corruption agencies — a plan he later withdrew.
Before entering politics, the former comedian often joked about his country’s entrenched corruption. "Is it possible to become president and not steal?" he once quipped. "It’s a rhetorical question, as no one has tried so far." His 2019 election campaign centered on dismantling the oligarch-dominated political system and increasing transparency.
Now, nearly seven years later — with no election planned amid wartime conditions — some Ukrainians view him as increasingly reliant on a small inner circle consolidating their own power and wielding it with limited checks.
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11-15-25 savo
if the MSTR ponzi collapses it will be a very good day for humanity.
Think of the amount of resources and man power that has been dedicated to construct the econsystem and inflate cryptos.
All resources that could have been deployed to productive activities for the benefit of humanity. All the energy that has been wasted mining cryptos!
There is a whole generation of young people that have been using cryptos as a career path. They will have to apply themselves find real jobs in real businesses and follow the good discipline of taking the bus to work everyday. |
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11-15-25 savo
pana...
mstr average btc price now after Saylor's latest 45bn purchase is 74k. He has a mere 25% profit in i do not know how many years of doubling down...
Had he bought gold.. silver.. miners or the s&p he would be better off.
But the worst thing is... he can't sell..because he is the bid... the buyer of last resort...Without him btc would be way down. |
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11-15-25 panasonic
MSTR could go insolvent, and any btc forced sell-off will certainly have ripple effects.
If not yet, you need to love call options and limit risks on such adventures.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microstrategy-now-owes-more-bitcoin-185728104.html |
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11-15-25 panasonic
| Tks for posting prices Edvi! |
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11-15-25 pillz
PDVSA 9 21 21.90
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please tell me when it is at 60 , thanks ... |
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11-15-25 pillz
| for now I have KWEB and CQQQ , but it looks like CQQQ is more in technology and KWEB in internet ,, but KWEB have a big volume ... |
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11-15-25 pillz
| I am looking to invest in Chinese ETF technology .... |
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11-15-25 pillz
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